Cassino vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FCC
4 - 1
SSC
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SSC
1 - 0
GEL
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
SSC
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
SSC
2 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
REA
0 - 1
SSC
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ASM
0 - 1
PES
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASM
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 0
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VIG
0 - 0
ASM
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |