Barletta vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 1
SSB
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SSB
3 - 1
ACP
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
FRO
2 - 1
SSB
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSB
2 - 1
PIA
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
SSB
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 0
ACP
62%
23%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
LAT
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
3 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
BV5
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
VIR
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |