Barletta vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SSB
0 - 2
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
SSB
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SSB
0 - 2
LRO
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 1
SSB
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PAG
4 - 0
ISC
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 0
PAG
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
NUO
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JUS
2 - 0
PAG
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 2
LEC
9%
21%
70%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |