Barletta vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SSB
39%
29%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 2
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 0
SSB
56%
24%
19%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SSB
2 - 1
FRO
22%
28%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 0
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
PIS
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAG
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 2
FRO
14%
25%
61%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 1
PAG
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 3
FCV
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |