Barletta vs Nocerina analysis


56	ELO	61
-13.1%	Tilt	-5.5%
19048º	General ELO ranking	3145º
450º	Country ELO ranking	102º
ELO win probability

33.5%

Barletta

28.8%

Draw

37.6%

Nocerina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

33.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%

28.8%

Draw

0-0

10.7%

1-1

13.3%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

<0%

0

28.8%

37.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barletta

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
16 Sep. 2012	PIS 2 - 2 SSB 65% 22% 14%	56	65	9
09 Sep. 2012	SSB 0 - 1 PRG 56% 25% 19%	56	51	5
02 Sep. 2012	FCC 4 - 3 SSB 20% 26% 54%	56	41	15
05 Aug. 2012	SSB 0 - 3 PRG 66% 21% 13%	56	45	11
06 May. 2012	PIA 2 - 2 SSB 55% 25% 21%	56	58	2

Matches

Nocerina

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Sep. 2012	NOC 0 - 1 LAT 70% 19% 11%	62	51	11	0
09 Sep. 2012	ACP 0 - 0 NOC 26% 27% 47%	62	49	13	0
02 Sep. 2012	NOC 2 - 2 ASA 64% 21% 15%	61	55	6	+1
12 Aug. 2012	REG 1 - 0 NOC 63% 21% 16%	61	68	7	0
05 Aug. 2012	NOC 1 - 0 PAG 83% 12% 5%	61	37	24	0