Barletta vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SSB
3 - 2
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 2
SSB
77%
17%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAV
1 - 0
SSB
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SSB
3 - 2
ASA
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
TER
29%
30%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
GEL
71%
18%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 0
SIR
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |