Barletta vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
SSB
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 6
BEN
14%
23%
64%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 1
SSB
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 2
ASG
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSB
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASG
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
FCC
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
GRO
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |