Barletta vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 0
SSB
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCS
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
REG
0 - 0
SSB
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JUS
3 - 1
SSB
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SSB
3 - 0
NUO
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 2
BEN
6%
17%
77%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
81%
15%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
66%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
USF
79%
16%
6%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 3
BEN
11%
20%
70%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |