Barletta vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SSB
2 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
MAT
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SSB
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 0
REG
16%
24%
61%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASM
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASM
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |