Barletta vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FCI
0 - 0
SSB
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SSC
2 - 1
SSB
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SSB
3 - 2
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSB
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SSB
1 - 1
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 3
BRI
17%
24%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSB
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASA
4 - 2
ASM
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |