Barletta vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSB
53%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 0
PES
26%
29%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
BRE
4 - 0
SSB
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
SSB
1 - 0
ASS
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
ANC
0 - 1
TOR
27%
30%
43%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
BRE
2 - 3
ANC
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
COM
0 - 2
ANC
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
REG
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
USF
1 - 1
ANC
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |