Kauno Žalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
2º
17
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
30 | 34 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 29 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 26 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 24 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 22 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 7 |
10º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
35% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
63% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
KZA
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 1
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
NEP
0 - 1
KZA
32%
24%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KZA
0 - 1
BAN
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
KZA
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
TRA
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 6
ZAL
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 0
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
PAN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HLI
2 - 1
ZAL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |