Kauno Žalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
KZA
23%
27%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 0
KZA
11%
21%
69%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
BAN
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 2
ZAL
8%
20%
72%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
DAI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 1
ZAL
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
FAS
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |