Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
87
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 2
KZA
12%
21%
67%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 1
BAN
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
DAI
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 2
KZA
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
KZA
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 0
PAN
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
ZAL
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
PAN
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
PAN
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |