Kauno Žalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
1º
28
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
77% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
22% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 3
KZA
30%
26%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
4 - 0
FSM
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
2 - 1
BEN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
1 - 0
NEV
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
FKJ
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
GRO
39%
24%
38%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUP
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
NEP
35%
23%
42%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 3
DTE
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |