Spy vs Evelette-Jallet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
10º
7º
23
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPY
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SPY
2 - 4
ARQ
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MEU
4 - 0
SPY
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 6
SPY
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPY
3 - 4
BEA
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Evelette-Jallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
REJ
3 - 2
AND
28%
20%
52%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
USD
3 - 2
REJ
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
REJ
2 - 4
NIS
15%
16%
69%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
REJ
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REJ
0 - 1
GRA
9%
14%
76%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |