Spy vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOL
2 - 2
SPY
49%
20%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SPY
1 - 1
LOY
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ARQ
2 - 4
SPY
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 5
SPY
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPY
2 - 1
BIE
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 2
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BIE
3 - 2
LIG
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 3
GRA
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NIS
0 - 2
LIG
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 2
BEA
72%
15%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |