Spy vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
5 - 2
SPY
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPY
1 - 2
NIS
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JEU
1 - 0
SPY
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPY
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SPY
3 - 0
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 0
GRA
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 0
LIG
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LIG
0 - 1
ASS
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BEA
2 - 2
LIG
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 2
ARQ
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |