SpVgg Vreden vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
15º
11º
47
3º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 3
SVR
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SVR
4 - 3
SCH
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 2
SVR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SVR
3 - 5
RWA
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MEI
1 - 0
SVR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SFB
3 - 1
ERN
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TVC
3 - 1
SFB
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SFB
0 - 0
KMA
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
HSC
3 - 1
SFB
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SFB
4 - 2
ENN
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |