SpVgg Steele vs SGS Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Steele
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DAK
3 - 2
SPV
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 3
SPE
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KRA
0 - 0
SPV
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 0
FCL
45%
21%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 2
SPV
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SGS Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 1
DAK
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 4
SGS
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 1
KRA
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
SGS
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 1
SCH
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +3 |