SpVgg Selbitz vs FSV Bayreuth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SKA
0 - 5
SVS
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SVS
0 - 0
ASV
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
QUF
1 - 0
SVS
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SVS
2 - 1
FVR
46%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SVS
2 - 3
BAI
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FSV Bayreuth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FSB
2 - 2
ASV
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KOR
2 - 0
FSB
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FSB
0 - 3
BSV
49%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 3
FSB
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FSB
1 - 2
NEU
18%
20%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |