SpVgg Frechen vs Konigsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
16º
4º
48
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
3 - 1
SPF
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
4 - 3
WEG
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
H05
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
SPF
31%
22%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Konigsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
VFL
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 5
KON
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KON
0 - 1
BSC
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 4
KON
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KON
0 - 2
SIE
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |