SpVgg Frechen vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+518%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FVE
0 - 0
SPF
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPF
2 - 0
CRB
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VLR
4 - 2
SPF
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPF
0 - 0
TOP
44%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SHN
1 - 1
SPF
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
TMA
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FVW
2 - 4
MER
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MER
4 - 1
TMO
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MER
4 - 2
KOW
64%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 0
MER
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |