SpVgg Frechen vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
16º
4º
55
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
HUR
2 - 3
SPF
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 0
SPF
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 2
TWE
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
WEG
1 - 3
SPF
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
SIE
5 - 1
VFL
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BER
3 - 6
SIE
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SIE
4 - 6
BSC
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FVE
0 - 2
SIE
16%
21%
62%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MER
3 - 0
SIE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |