SpVgg Frechen vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
4º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
4 - 1
SPF
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
BFR
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 4
SPF
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 0
USC
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 3
SPF
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 1
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
H05
18%
19%
63%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 2
BFR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |