SpVgg Frechen vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
SPF
34%
24%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 0
EIL
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BER
5 - 1
SPF
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BFR
1 - 1
SPF
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
SPF
0 - 1
BWF
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
KOL
8 - 1
SIE
88%
10%
2%
|
23 | 81 | 58 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 1
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
DUR
5 - 1
SIE
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
H05
0 - 0
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
SCF
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |