SpVgg Frechen vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
7º
32
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
SPF
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 0
H05
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 0
SPF
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 1
VIA
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
H05
3 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 2
SCF
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
BSC
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVE
56%
19%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |