SpVgg Frechen vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SHN
2 - 1
SPF
54%
21%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPF
1 - 2
TOP
54%
21%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SVL
0 - 0
SPF
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SPF
1 - 0
GKS
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPF
0 - 2
FVE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SCF
0 - 2
MER
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCF
3 - 4
SHN
54%
20%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SCF
5 - 3
TOP
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SVL
4 - 3
SCF
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SCF
3 - 0
GKS
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |