SpVgg Frechen vs Hertha Rheidt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MER
7 - 1
SPF
54%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCF
5 - 1
SPF
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPF
0 - 1
SHN
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOP
3 - 1
SPF
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SPF
1 - 0
SVL
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha Rheidt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HRH
2 - 1
SCF
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HRH
0 - 2
SHN
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HRH
0 - 3
TOP
13%
18%
69%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SVL
3 - 0
HRH
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HRH
0 - 2
GKS
26%
22%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |