SpVgg Frechen vs FC Teutonia Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
16º
4º
36
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
WEG
1 - 3
SPF
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
H05
0 - 1
SPF
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SPF
6 - 1
USC
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 0
SPF
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Teutonia Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
TWE
3 - 4
VFL
30%
23%
46%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BER
4 - 3
TWE
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
TWE
0 - 1
BSC
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FVE
4 - 0
TWE
28%
19%
53%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
TWE
0 - 3
SIE
41%
24%
36%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |