SpVgg Frechen vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
7º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
SPF
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SPF
1 - 3
BER
33%
24%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VFL
3 - 2
SPF
52%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PES
2 - 2
SPF
33%
23%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SPF
4 - 2
VIA
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
BGP
4 - 1
VIA
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
H05
3 - 1
BGP
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BGP
1 - 5
BSC
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 2
BGP
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BGP
1 - 2
SVE
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |