SpVgg Erlangen vs FSV Bayreuth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SVE
3 - 1
FEU
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
BAI
5 - 1
SVE
75%
15%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SVS
3 - 0
SVE
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SVE
1 - 3
BSV
49%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
TSB
5 - 1
SVE
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FSV Bayreuth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCS
1 - 1
FSB
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SVM
4 - 0
FSB
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FSB
1 - 1
MEM
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ASV
4 - 3
FSB
52%
20%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NEU
4 - 1
FSB
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |