SpVgg Erkenschwick U19 vs Köln U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOR
4 - 2
SES
86%
10%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SES
1 - 3
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SGW
3 - 1
SES
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SES
3 - 2
ARM
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 1
SES
80%
14%
7%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
KOL
4 - 2
SGW
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 1
KOL
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BOC
4 - 0
KOL
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |