SpVg Porz 1919 vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPV
4 - 1
FVE
33%
22%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 1
SPV
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SPV
0 - 1
TMO
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
H05
3 - 0
SPV
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
HUR
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DUS
0 - 3
SPF
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
SPF
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 2
SPF
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
2 - 4
SIE
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |