SpVg Porz 1919 vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
16º
9º
55
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
VFL
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 6
SPV
67%
17%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 2
SPV
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 0
HUR
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
SIE
26%
23%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 3
GET
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KON
0 - 1
SIE
37%
22%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 1
SVE
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |