SpVg Porz 1919 vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
VFL
4 - 0
SPV
87%
9%
5%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
SCF
15%
17%
69%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
FVE
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 0
SPV
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
GET
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 0
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
SIE
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
4 - 1
KON
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 1
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |