SpVg Porz 1919 vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
54.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
16º
9º
35
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
H05
1 - 4
SPV
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
USC
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MER
6 - 3
SPV
60%
18%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
SPV
61%
18%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
VFL
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 3
SCF
56%
21%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
BER
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 0
SCF
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
7 - 1
FVE
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |