Springfield United vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+455%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Springfield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPR
7 - 4
STO
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
SPR
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SPR
3 - 0
ACA
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
SPR
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SPR
0 - 2
MGH
19%
19%
63%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
NEW
48%
21%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
UNI
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
MGH
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
WES
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |