Sprimont-Comblain vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sprimont-Comblain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TIE
0 - 3
SPR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
NAM
2 - 2
SPR
39%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SPR
1 - 0
WAL
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FBO
3 - 3
SPR
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 1
SPR
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
EXC
0 - 1
CHA
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
3 - 1
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 3
LIE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
KVC
0 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
OOS
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |