Spratzern vs Gloggnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
71.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
14º
14º
51
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCU
2 - 0
SPR
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 0
ARD
11%
19%
70%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WAI
4 - 0
SPR
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
3 - 1
SPR
56%
21%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SPR
1 - 4
SVH
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gloggnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVG
3 - 1
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 2
SVG
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SCU
1 - 2
SVG
9%
19%
71%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVG
0 - 3
ARD
79%
16%
6%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WAI
2 - 0
SVG
9%
19%
72%
|
70 | 17 | 53 | -1 |