Spratzern vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SPR
0 - 4
KOT
14%
20%
67%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
SPR
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SPR
1 - 2
ARD
24%
23%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GAF
2 - 1
SPR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SPR
3 - 4
WAI
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 1
MAN
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
ARD
2 - 0
SCO
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 0
GAF
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 2
SCO
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
0 - 0
ZWE
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |