Spratzern vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SCO
1 - 0
SPR
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SPR
0 - 1
SVR
46%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SPR
3 - 4
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 3
SPR
45%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARD
4 - 0
LAN
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SCR
0 - 0
ARD
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 1
SCH
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
ARD
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 0
WAI
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |