Spratzern vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 2
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SVH
2 - 4
SPR
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPR
0 - 0
KOT
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SCR
2 - 1
SPR
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 5
LEO
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ARD
1 - 1
KRE
15%
18%
66%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
WAI
3 - 4
ARD
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 0
SVH
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 2
ARD
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 5
SCR
22%
23%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |