Sporting Zas vs Castrelo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Zas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 4
ZAS
36%
23%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ZAS
5 - 2
LAX
43%
22%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ZAS
0 - 1
OUT
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CEE
4 - 4
ZAS
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BUN
2 - 3
ZAS
44%
23%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Castrelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
XAL
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
POR
6 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
XAL
4 - 0
CAS
80%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
SEA
46%
24%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |