Sporting Zamora vs Perilla Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 4
SPO
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
ATH
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
SPO
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 4
SPO
22%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perilla Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 4
CAN
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
XUV
9 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
NAV
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PER
0 - 3
MAD
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 0
PER
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |