Sp. Villena vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 1
SPO
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POB
1 - 1
SPO
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
ENG
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 1
UDC
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UDC
3 - 0
AGU
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ELD
1 - 0
UDC
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UDC
3 - 1
IDE
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATZ
2 - 3
UDC
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |