Sp. Villena vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
SPO
59%
20%
22%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAN
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPO
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 5
NOV
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COC
3 - 2
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OBR
2 - 1
INM
18%
19%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GSV
2 - 2
OBR
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
OBR
3 - 1
SCA
47%
19%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 3
OBR
61%
19%
21%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OBR
2 - 3
INM
25%
20%
55%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |