Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 3-1
Sporting Villanueva vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 2
SPV
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SPV
0 - 1
RAC
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
SPV
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SPV
5 - 2
BNS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BNS
1 - 0
SPV
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 2
SPV
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
ALH
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 0
RVI
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RVI
2 - 1
ALH
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |