Sporting Valleambrosia vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Valleambrosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
USO
0 - 6
SPO
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 2
SPO
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MED
1 - 0
SPO
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
SAV
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
1 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
MEL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |