Sporting Trestina vs Todi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
SPO
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
PIA
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ORV
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
SPO
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
TOD
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Todi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TOD
1 - 0
PIE
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
TOD
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIE
2 - 0
TOD
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOD
2 - 2
ASD
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
TOD
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |